{"id":10419,"date":"2018-10-01T11:11:35","date_gmt":"2018-10-01T18:11:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/?p=10419"},"modified":"2018-09-24T11:41:44","modified_gmt":"2018-09-24T18:41:44","slug":"vancouver-home-prices-likely-arent-done-rising-yet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2018\/10\/vancouver-home-prices-likely-arent-done-rising-yet\/","title":{"rendered":"Vancouver Home Prices Likely Aren&#8217;t Done Rising Yet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Anyone hoping for a more affordable housing market in Vancouver will be disappointed if a Scotiabank Economics report proves correct.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cThough demand-supply conditions are improving, affordability is expected to remain a concern,\u201d writes Marc Desormeaux, an economist and policy analyst for Scotiabank Economics, in a report published this week.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">As of the end of July, there were 11% more units under construction than over the same period in 2017, while the number of complete but unsold units is up 10%, according to the report \u2014 but don\u2019t count on that increase in supply to push prices down meaningfully.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cDespite the [year-to-date] increase, Vancouver\u2019s inventory of unabsorbed homes remains well below its long-run average, building on the shortfall accrued in recent years and indicating further price increases are likely ahead,\u201d Desormeaux continues.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/?attachment_id=10420\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-10420\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-10420\" src=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/van-unsold-inventory-288x253.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"555\" height=\"487\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/van-unsold-inventory-288x253.jpg 288w, https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/van-unsold-inventory-768x675.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/09\/van-unsold-inventory.jpg 790w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 555px) 100vw, 555px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In August, the benchmark price of a Metro Vancouver home was $1,083,400, up 4.1% from a year ago but down 1.9% since May, according to the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver. Year-to-date prices are up 3.7% as of August, the report states.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meantime, homebuying activity appears to be picking up once again. Sales, though down 27.4% so far this year, climbed 2.9% in August from July, and that \u201csuggests the market may be at an inflection point,\u201d Desormeaux notes.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cWith more moderately priced dwelling types continuing to see strong upward price pressures, acute affordability pressures are likely to persist near-term for prospective modest- and middle-income homebuyers,\u201d says Desormeaux notes.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Provincially, the report suggests the affordability picture is somewhat brighter looking ahead. \u201cWhile risks remain, solid full-time job creation and a recovery in multiple sectors with falling unemployment to date should support BC housing demand and economic growth this year and next. An upswing in new construction should limit further erosion of housing affordability,\u201d says Desormeaux.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In a separate report released last week, Central 1 noted that BC housing starts rose in August, marking the second consecutive month that contractors broke ground for an increasing number of units.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Housing starts hit a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 48,300 homes last month, flying 28% above the level reached the same time last year and up 8% from July. The rate of construction in Vancouver, however, was \u201cvirtually unchanged,\u201d Central 1 found.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The census metro areas of Victoria and Kelowna were the main drivers for the increased pace of housing construction.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livabl.com\/2018\/09\/vancouver-home-prices-arent-done-rising-yet.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vancouver Home Prices Likely Aren&#8217;t Done Rising Yet<\/a> by Josh Sherman | Livabl<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Anyone hoping for a more affordable housing market in Vancouver will be disappointed if a Scotiabank Economics report proves correct. \u201cThough demand-supply conditions are improving, affordability is expected to remain &hellip; [<a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2018\/10\/vancouver-home-prices-likely-arent-done-rising-yet\/\">read more<\/a>]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-updates"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Vancouver Home Prices Likely Aren&#039;t Done Rising Yet &#8226; 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