{"id":11502,"date":"2019-01-29T10:10:27","date_gmt":"2019-01-29T18:10:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/?p=11502"},"modified":"2019-01-21T14:28:42","modified_gmt":"2019-01-21T22:28:42","slug":"metro-vancouver-home-prices-to-bottom-in-2019-then-bounce-back","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2019\/01\/metro-vancouver-home-prices-to-bottom-in-2019-then-bounce-back\/","title":{"rendered":"Metro Vancouver Home Prices to Bottom in 2019 &#038; Then Bounce Back"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Home prices in Metro Vancouver may slide further in 2019 but then will recover as demand continues and supply remains constrained, according to a panel of developers at a 2019 forecast event.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Speaking at the Urban Development Institute\u2019s annual Forecast Luncheon on January 17, Neil Chrystal, president and CEO of Polygon Homes, said, \u201cThis year, the single-family home market will remain slow, and experience further price corrections\u2026. In order for prices in the multi-family market to stabilize, we must first find the bottom of the single-family market, and I believe this will happen in 2019. 2019 will be the year of a reset in the multi-family sector. Developers will have to offer new homes at reset prices.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Chrystal added, \u201cI honestly believe this is a good thing. If any market was overshot it was the high-end single-family sector, and these price adjustments are long overdue, and quite frankly necessary, before the market can move forward again. But I think we\u2019re near the bottom, because people will need to get on with their lives.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Eric Carlson, founder and CEO of Anthem Properties, said, \u201cMany are eager for the [home price] bubble to burst. But there is no bubble. This is just a slight adjustment. More expensive single-family homes will adjust more, and as you move towards the middle and lower end, prices will also adjust a little, stop, and then reverse. I expect these price declines to dissipate over the next year, even reverse by the end of the year, and here\u2019s why. Once the market adjusts to whatever foreign buyers and [those affected by the speculation tax] leave it because of the taxes, new investor demand will take its place and prices will grow from there.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Carlson agreed with Chrystal that a market slowdown can only last so long. \u201cThere\u2019s still a push on the market. We still have these 15 to 20,000 new households forming every year, no matter what \u2013 and they need housing. And people can temporarily stay in their parents\u2019 basement suites or double up, but at some point they\u2019ll stop waiting and buy, and I think that \u2018some point\u2019 is some months away. And that\u2019s happening no matter what\u2019s going on in Shaughnessy or the British Properties.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Carslon said that he also expected average rents to continue to rise by well above the rate of inflation, despite new rent control measures that tie rental price increases to inflation on occupied units.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Todd Yuen, president of industrial at Beedie Development Group, pointed to the influx of many thousands of new workers from companies such as Amazon as having an effect on demand in the housing market (known as the \u201cAmazon effect\u201d). He cited an anonymous source close to Amazon\u2019s deal to occupy the former Canada Post building in downtown Vancouver, who told Yuen that with Amazon\u2019s employees earning around US80K-$120 a year (CAD $106-$160K), the company was not concerned about finding housing for those workers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cWe\u2019re expecting Amazon to bring in about 5,300 employees [to the Canada Post building] &#8230;.. Amazon\u2019s workers want to be in a world-class city like Vancouver. There was no concern about availability of homes or pricing\u2026 Most of all, [Amazon values] Vancouver\u2019s post-secondary education [as a source of new employees]. So they want to be here, and they\u2019ll figure out the rest later.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In response to moderator Jon Stovell\u2019s question of whether such companies are \u201cjust going to stare down the housing market,\u201d Yuen noted Microsoft\u2019s recent announcement that the company is spending $500 million in Seattle on affordable housing, for its own workers and for the homeless, as an example of a possible solution.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/biv.com\/article\/2019\/01\/metro-vancouver-home-prices-bottom-2019-and-then-bounce-back-forecast\">Forecast : Metro Vancouver Home Prices to Bottom in 2019 &amp; Then Bounce Back<\/a> by Joannah Connolly | Glacier Media Real Estate | Business in Vancouver<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Home prices in Metro Vancouver may slide further in 2019 but then will recover as demand continues and supply remains constrained, according to a panel of developers at a 2019 &hellip; [<a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2019\/01\/metro-vancouver-home-prices-to-bottom-in-2019-then-bounce-back\/\">read more<\/a>]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11502","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-updates"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Metro Vancouver Home Prices to Bottom in 2019 &amp; Then Bounce Back &#8226; Rory C Real Estate | Oakwyn Realty<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2019\/01\/metro-vancouver-home-prices-to-bottom-in-2019-then-bounce-back\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Metro Vancouver Home Prices to Bottom in 2019 &amp; 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