{"id":27557,"date":"2026-04-14T10:10:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T17:10:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/?p=27557"},"modified":"2026-04-13T16:52:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T23:52:14","slug":"economic-headwinds-continued-to-challenge-the-commercial-real-estate-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2026\/04\/economic-headwinds-continued-to-challenge-the-commercial-real-estate-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic Headwinds Continued to Challenge The Commercial Real Estate Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Despite pockets of resilience in a few asset classes throughout the year, commercial transactions were down 8% overall in 2025, relative to the 2024 total.<\/p>\n<p>The Greater Vancouver REALTORS\u00ae (GVR) reports that commercial real estate transactions in the region totaled 1,335 in 2025, an 8.3% decrease from the 1,456 sales recorded in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>The total dollar volume of commercial transactions in the Lower Mainland for 2025 was $7.466 billion, a 23.2% decrease from $9.723 billion in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOur 2025 forecast had not anticipated any significant gains for commercial transactions overall, and the 2025 data shows that economic headwinds continued to challenge the commercial market,\u201d said Andrew Lis, GVR chief economist and vice-president data analytics. \u201cConsidering that numerous uncertainty-inducing events transpired globally throughout 2025, this decline in overall transaction volumes is relatively modest when placed in context, and it\u2019s worth noting a few asset classes saw increased transaction volumes relative to the previous year.\u201d<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-27559 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/cGVR-commercial-highlights-288x219.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"565\" height=\"430\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/cGVR-commercial-highlights-288x219.jpg 288w, https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/cGVR-commercial-highlights-768x585.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/cGVR-commercial-highlights.jpg 888w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 565px) 100vw, 565px\" \/>Annual sales and dollar volume totals for 2025 for each asset class were as follows :<\/p>\n<p>Land : There were a total of 212 commercial land sales in 2025, a 48.5% decrease from the 412 land sales in 2024. The dollar volume of land sales was $1.778 billion in 2025, a 59.5% decrease from $4.385 billion in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Office : There were a total of 367 office sales in 2025, a 58.2% increase from the 232 office sales in 2024. The dollar volume of office sales was $2.037 billion in 2025, a 128.8% increase from $890 million in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Retail and Other : There were a total of 352 commercial retail &amp; other sales in 2025, a 10.7% increase from the 318 sales in 2024. The dollar volume of retail sales was $1.601 billion in 2025, a 20.4% increase from $1.330 billion in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Industrial : There were a total of 343 industrial sales in 2025, a 15.7% decrease from the 407 industrial sales in 2024. The dollar volume of industrial sales was $1.300 billion in 2025, a 29.0% decrease from $1.830 billion in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Multi-Family : There were a total of 61 multi-family sales in 2025, a 29.9% decrease from the 87 multi-family sales in 2024. The dollar volume of multi-family sales was $751 million in 2025, a 41.7% decrease from $1.288 billion in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWith an historic high of unsold newly completed units, land transactions finished the year down nearly 50%, signalling the development community anticipates poor economics for development feasibility over the coming years,\u201d Lis said. \u201cBy contrast, asset classes such as retail and office saw higher transaction volumes over the previous year, with dollar volumes for office transactions spiking, largely as a result of the $1.2 billion dollar sale of the Post building at 658 Homer in downtown Vancouver.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Q4 2025 Activity by Asset Class<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">There were 353 commercial real estate transactions in the Lower Mainland in Q4 2025, a 8.3% increase from the 326 sales in Q4 2024.<\/p>\n<p>The total dollar volume of commercial real estate transactions in the Lower Mainland was $2.408 billion in Q4 2025, a 7.7% increase from $2.235 billion in Q4 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Land : There were 52 commercial land sales in Q3 2025, which is a 20% decrease from the 65 land sales in Q3 2024. The dollar value of land sales was $432 million in Q3 2025, a 42.6% decrease from $753 million in Q3 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Office : There were 83 office sales in the Lower Mainland in Q3 2025, which is a 219.2% increase from the 26 sales in Q3 2024. The dollar value of office sales was $190 million in Q3 2025, a 3.3% increase from $184 million in Q3 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Retail and Other : There were 80 retail &amp; other sales in the Lower Mainland in Q3 2025, which is a 66.7% increase from the 48 sales in Q3 2024. The dollar value of retail sales was $244 million in Q3 2025, a 10.1% decrease from $272 million in Q3 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Industrial : There were 73 industrial land sales in the Lower Mainland in Q3 2025, which is a 102.8% increase from the 36 sales in Q3 2024. The dollar value of industrial sales was $276 million in Q3 2025, a 79% increase from $154 million in Q3 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Multi-Family : There were 19 multi-family land sales in the Lower Mainland in Q3 2025, which is a 26.7% increase from 15 sales in Q3 2024. The dollar value of multi-family sales was $270 million in Q3 2025, a 22.3% decrease from $348 million in Q3 2024.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOn a quarterly basis, overall transaction levels held relatively steady rising two percent quarter-over-quarter, with gains in the retail, office, and industrial segments offsetting declines in other asset classes,\u201d Lis said. \u201cBond yields have risen in recent months amid global turmoil, raising the risk of dampened commercial transactions in the near-term as borrowing costs increase. Even if tensions ease, borrowing costs are unlikely to return to pre-pandemic levels, and we expect this to continue constraining commercial activity through 2026 in a manner similar to what we observed throughout 2025.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/members.gvrealtors.ca\/news\/GVR-Q4-2025-Commercial-Edge-Report.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Click here<\/a> for Q4\/2025 Report.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gvrealtors.ca\/news-archive\/slowest-year-for-commercial-transactions-since-2009.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2025 Year-End Commercial Edge Market Report &#8211; Slowest Year for Commercial Transactions Since 2009<\/a> by GVR<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.biv.com\/news\/real-estate\/greater-vancouver-commercial-real-estate-transactions-down-83-in-2025-12121411\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Greater Vancouver Commercial Real Estate Transactions Down 8.3% in 2025<\/a> by The Canadian Press<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite pockets of resilience in a few asset classes throughout the year, commercial transactions were down 8% overall in 2025, relative to the 2024 total. The Greater Vancouver REALTORS\u00ae (GVR) &hellip; [<a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2026\/04\/economic-headwinds-continued-to-challenge-the-commercial-real-estate-market\/\">read more<\/a>]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27557","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-updates","category-real-estate"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Economic Headwinds Continued to Challenge The Commercial Real Estate Market &#8226; Rory C Real Estate | Oakwyn Realty<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2026\/04\/economic-headwinds-continued-to-challenge-the-commercial-real-estate-market\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Economic Headwinds Continued to Challenge The Commercial Real Estate Market &#8226; Rory C Real Estate | Oakwyn Realty\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Despite pockets of resilience in a few asset classes throughout the year, commercial transactions were down 8% overall in 2025, relative to the 2024 total. 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