{"id":3215,"date":"2016-09-02T11:11:14","date_gmt":"2016-09-02T18:11:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/?p=3215"},"modified":"2016-08-31T07:01:21","modified_gmt":"2016-08-31T14:01:21","slug":"except-in-toronto-vancouver-home-affordability-near-normal-in-canada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2016\/09\/except-in-toronto-vancouver-home-affordability-near-normal-in-canada\/","title":{"rendered":"Except in Toronto &#038; Vancouver, Home Affordability Near Normal in Canada"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Rapidly escalating homeownership costs in Vancouver and Toronto caused the highest quarterly jump in the national affordability index in six years, says RBC in its second quarter Housing Trends and Affordability Report. Even though affordability was close to historical norms in most of the country, even improving in a couple of cities, those two hotspots pushed the affordability measure up by 1.2% to 42.8%. This is the percentage of pre-tax household income that would be required to own a home, including mortgage payments, taxes, utilities. Vancouver\u2019s, and \u201cto a lesser extent\u201d Toronto\u2019s soaring prices fuel \u201cgenuine concerns\u201d about overheating in these markets, says RBC.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Vancouver stands out, as it has for the past several years, as the country\u2019s least affordable city for homeowners. The \u201cseemingly unstoppable\u201d home prices are moving Vancouver\u2019s affordability measures deeper into \u201cuncharted territory\u201d according to RBC. The aggregate measure rose 6.1% in the second quarter to an \u201castounding\u201d 90.3. The measure for single-detached homes has \u201cskyrocketed\u201d by 28.9% over the past year, reaching 126.8%. Owning such a home is a luxury that very few \u201clocals\u201d can afford, says RBC. As for foreign nationals, thought to be largely responsible for the surging prices in Vancouver\u2019s housing market, their activities in the market will almost certainly be reduced now that a 15% tax applies to foreign purchasers. The move by the BC government \u201cmay be a signal\u201d that it is intent on engineering a cooldown in the market.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Next to Vancouver, Toronto\u2019s affordability measure, now at 60.2%, looks almost reasonable, until one remembers that that is the percentage of income a household has to pay out just to cover ownership costs. This is the highest it has been in Toronto in more than twenty-five years. For comparison, the measure for Regina is 28.6, for St. John\u2019s 26.2, and for Montreal 39.4. As the table below shows, affordability is normal in most cities.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/home-affordability-near-normal-in-Canada-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-3218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/home-affordability-near-normal-in-Canada-1-300x230.jpg\" alt=\"home affordability near normal in Canada 1\" width=\"485\" height=\"372\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/home-affordability-near-normal-in-Canada-1-300x230.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/home-affordability-near-normal-in-Canada-1.jpg 550w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 485px) 100vw, 485px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The outlook for affordability across Canada calls for more of the same, says RBC: intense pressure in Toronto and Vancouver, very \u201crelaxed\u201d in Calgary, where there has been a net outflow of population and falling home prices in the last twelve months, and \u201cnormal\u201d conditions in most other markets.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><em>Signs of cooling resale activity have emerged in Vancouver and more tentatively in Toronto and we believe the blistering pace of property appreciation in both markets may slow by year end. This likely won\u2019t help affordability in the near-term because of demand-supply tightness in the two markets at the present time, but some relief could arrive late this year or early in 2017.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Despite the \u201crapidly deteriorating\u201d affordability in Toronto, RBC says that the housing boom was still in \u201cfull swing\u201d in the spring. Rising prices failed to dampen the \u201csupercharged\u201d demand, especially in the single-detached segment, where supply remains very tight. In the condo market, affordability eroded more \u201cmodestly.\u201d The affordability measure for condo ownership in Toronto edged up 0.4% in the second quarter, the average condo costing $371,100. Nationally, the affordability measure for condominium ownership was 34.4%, exactly the same as in Toronto.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">There may be tentative signs, says RBC, that the market in Toronto has topped out. Resale numbers peaked in May and have since dropped a little, while new listings have begun to rise again. If these trends are sustained in coming months, \u201cthere may be some moderation\u201d in pace of price increases.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/home-affordability-near-normal-in-Canada-2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-3219\" src=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/home-affordability-near-normal-in-Canada-2-300x237.jpg\" alt=\"home affordability near normal in Canada 2\" width=\"477\" height=\"377\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/home-affordability-near-normal-in-Canada-2-300x237.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/home-affordability-near-normal-in-Canada-2.jpg 541w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 477px) 100vw, 477px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Both the Toronto and Vancouver markets are as hot as they are because of favourable economic fundamentals, RBC says. Low interest rates, solid job growth, combined with the limited supply of single-detached homes, explain much of the rapid price escalation. These \u201crobust\u201d local fundamentals do not fully explain Vancouver\u2019s record-high affordability measure, however, and RBC suggests that \u201cover-exuberant price expectations\u201d have also played a major part.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Chief Economist Craig Wright commented that the \u201cblistering pace\u201d of property appreciation in both markets may slow by year end, though this will not help affordability because of the tightness of supply. Look for \u201csome relief\u201d late this year or early next.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/condo.ca\/except-toronto-vancouver-home-affordability-near-normal-canada\/\" target=\"_blank\">Except in Toronto &amp; Vancouver, Home Affordability Near Normal in Canada<\/a> by Josephine Nolan | Condo.ca<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rapidly escalating homeownership costs in Vancouver and Toronto caused the highest quarterly jump in the national affordability index in six years, says RBC in its second quarter Housing Trends and &hellip; [<a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2016\/09\/except-in-toronto-vancouver-home-affordability-near-normal-in-canada\/\">read more<\/a>]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3215","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-updates"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Except in Toronto &amp; 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