{"id":6664,"date":"2017-08-10T10:10:28","date_gmt":"2017-08-10T17:10:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/?p=6664"},"modified":"2017-08-10T08:52:50","modified_gmt":"2017-08-10T15:52:50","slug":"canadas-new-housing-market-is-still-strong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2017\/08\/canadas-new-housing-market-is-still-strong\/","title":{"rendered":"Canada&#8217;s New-Housing Market is Still Strong"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Canada\u2019s resale market is undergoing a cooling period amid a slowdown in the Greater Toronto Area, but the nation\u2019s new-construction segment is still going strong \u2014 and it has a lot to do with pricing, suggests Scotiabank.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cWhat helps to explain why the new build segment is stronger than the recent weakening in some resale segments in the relative price change in favour of new homes which has been going on for years,\u201d writes Derek Holt, VP and head of capital markets economics for Scotiabank, in a note.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cNew home prices are much more affordable,\u201d adds Holt, noting employment and a rising immigration are encouraging more construction which dampens prices.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/buzz-buzz-new-home.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-6665\" src=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/buzz-buzz-new-home-300x289.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"534\" height=\"514\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/buzz-buzz-new-home-300x289.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/buzz-buzz-new-home-768x740.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/buzz-buzz-new-home.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 534px) 100vw, 534px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Specifically, Holt compares the Teranet-National Bank House Price Index, which only looks at homes that have been sold at least once before, with Statistics Canada\u2019s New Housing Price Index, based on sales data collected directly from homebuilders.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The performance of the new-housing segment of Canada\u2019s biggest market, the Greater Toronto Area \u2014 which has considerable pull on national trends \u2014 after the Ontario provincial government announced its Fair Housing Plan in April has surprised at least one notable expert.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cYou would think that the Fair Housing Plan actually would have targeted the pre-construction market a bit more,\u201d Diana Petramala, an economist with TD, told BuzzBuzzNews recently.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cThese new condos were not subject to rent control prior to the Fair Housing Plan, and now they are, which means that rents can grow maybe 2% per year, and cap rates are already quite low given where prices are, so we thought that that would have curbed activity in that market ,\u201d says Petramala on BuzzTV, BuzzBuzzNews\u2019 weekly Facebook Live broadcast.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Before the 16-point Fair Housing Plan, which also includes a foreign-homebuyers tax, only condos built before 1991 had rent increases limited, which made newer units a more appealing option for investors hoping to make rental income.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">But like Holt, Petramala says the relative \u201caffordability\u201d of some new homes is propping up the segment.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cYou saw this too in the Vancouver market: there was a shift from the existing home market to the new home market. In large part that\u2019s because of the affordability issue,\u201d she says.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cIf you make\u2026 single-family homes less of a good investment, let\u2019s say, you\u2019re going to go and look for the cheaper option and that would be the pre-construction condos,\u201d Petramala adds.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A record number of condos sold throughout the Greater Toronto Area in the first half of the year, according to an Urbanation report published earlier this month.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The market\u2019s \u201cexplosive\u201d performance translated to a total of 12,138 new condo units selling in the area over the six-month period ending in June.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">As affordability continues to be a strain on many potential homebuyers in Canada\u2019s most expensive markets, immigration and employment has supported more residential construction to meet demand for more affordable housing.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In July, the annualized rate of housing construction reached 217,550 units, representing the seventh consecutive monthly increase, according to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Construction in the Vancouver census metro area \u201cremains near record highs,\u201d says CMHC, warning \u201cdevelopers will be keeping an eye on market conditions as these projects are completed in the coming year.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In the Toronto CMA, another of Canada\u2019s priciest markets, the rate of starts were close to this year\u2019s monthly average. But CMHC noted how construction levels for certain housing types could signal trouble.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cStrong increases in semi-detached and town home starts pointed to affordability concerns driving demand for less expensive housing types,\u201d writes CMHC.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Not just a sign of resilience, Toronto\u2019s construction activity could also signal another problem in a market that has seen home resales plunge more than 40% annually, according to the Toronto Real Estate Board\u2019s July 2017 monthly market watch.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cThis buoyancy is in direct contrast to recent sales of existing properties, which are showing a significant slowdown in Ontario following the introduction this spring of new provincial measures aimed, in particular, at the Greater Toronto Area,\u201d writes Desjardins Senior Economist Benoit P. Durocher in a separate report out this morning.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cIn light of the rise in housing starts, the fear is that this slowdown is nothing more than a temporary adjustment before new increases,\u201d he continues.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/news.buzzbuzzhome.com\/2017\/08\/canadas-new-housing-market-still-strong.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Why Canada&#8217;s New-Housing Market is Still Strong Despite Plunging Resales<\/a> by Josh Sherman | Buzz Buzz Home<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Canada\u2019s resale market is undergoing a cooling period amid a slowdown in the Greater Toronto Area, but the nation\u2019s new-construction segment is still going strong \u2014 and it has a &hellip; [<a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2017\/08\/canadas-new-housing-market-is-still-strong\/\">read more<\/a>]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6664","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-updates"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Canada&#039;s New-Housing Market is Still Strong &#8226; 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