{"id":9773,"date":"2018-07-12T08:08:35","date_gmt":"2018-07-12T15:08:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/?p=9773"},"modified":"2018-07-11T16:43:05","modified_gmt":"2018-07-11T23:43:05","slug":"bank-of-canada-hikes-rate-to-1-5-in-july-announcement","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2018\/07\/bank-of-canada-hikes-rate-to-1-5-in-july-announcement\/","title":{"rendered":"Bank of Canada Hikes Rate to 1.5% in July Announcement"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Growing trade volatility and tariff threats weren\u2019t enough to sway the Bank of Canada from its upward swing : the central bank, which sets the cost of borrowing for all lenders in the nation, has hiked its trend-setting interest rate to 1.5% from 1.25%, where it had been set since January.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">While the BoC conceded that the \u201cpossibility of more trade protectionism is the most important threat to global prospects\u201d, stronger domestic economic data was too strong to ignore; inflation continues to run close to 2%, boosted by higher energy and commodity prices, while job numbers improve. Rate hikes by the BoC\u2019s US counterpart, the Federal Reserve, have also paved the way for a rate hike, as putting off tighter monetary policy on this side of the border would have further depressed the Canadian dollar.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">That\u2019s led the BoC\u2019s governing council to go ahead with the widely-expected hike, and indicate that more will be on the way. However, it does acknowledge Canadians are still absorbing the higher borrowing costs already introduced this year, as well as trade-related anxiety.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cIn particular, the Bank is monitoring the economy\u2019s adjustment to higher interest rates and the evolution of capacity and wage pressures, as well as the response of companies and consumers to trade actions,\u201d it stated in its release, adding that anticipated steel and aluminum tariffs will spell \u201cdifficult adjustments for some industries and their workers.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Strong Data Mean More Hikes to Come<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">However, the key indicators remain strong, prompting the BoC to believe any negative impact will be modest, citing an economy operating close to capacity, stabilizing housing market, and improved business investment.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The BoC forecasts the economy will grow by 2.8% in the second quarter of this year, followed by 1.5% in Q3, with overall growth to average right on target, around 2%. It says this projection bakes in uncertainty over impending tariffs and impact on affected industries.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">There was much \u201cwill they or won\u2019t they\u201d speculation leading up to this rate announcement; while early predictions widely called for a hike, that was thrown into flux following Trump\u2019s inflammatory remarks regarding the US-Canada trade relationship at the G7 summit, and increasingly aggressive trade policies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">However, the BoC maintained in public remarks that it was committed to data-dependent guidance, prompting economists to again side with a hike after a slew of positive economic data was released. Initially, three hikes were called for in 2018: the first occurred in January, and the third is widely anticipated in October, with another three in 2019 should the data support it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>How Will This Impact Borrowers?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Because the Bank of Canada influences the interest rate pricing at Canada\u2019s consumer lenders, the cost of variable borrowing will rise following this rate announcement. The \u201cBig Six\u201d banks \u2013 Bank of Montreal, Scotiabank, TD, National Bank, CIBC and Royal Bank \u2013 are highly expected to factor the full hike into their Prime Rates, currently at 3.45%. Should they follow the example set in following January\u2019s rate hike, consumers can expect Prime to rise to 3.7% in the very short term.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">While fixed-rate borrowers will not be directly impacted by today\u2019s rate hike, they will experience the residual effects of an overall higher borrowing environment. Because fixed mortgage rates are influenced by the yield coupons on Government of Canada bonds, which are expected to rise following this announcement, those at the renewal or refinance stage may encounter higher fixed rates.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>A Tougher Stress Test to Come<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">As well, it may make things tougher for applicants of new mortgages to qualify : the \u201cstress test\u201d rate \u2013 otherwise known as the Bank of Canada\u2019s five-year posted rate \u2013 rises in tandem with the Big Six\u2019s posted fixed rates (it\u2019s based on their average), meaning any upward movement on their part will be factored into the threshold Canadian mortgage borrowers must satisfy to receive home financing.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In short, interest rates are set to rise for the long-term, and all mortgage borrowers will be impacted in some way.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zoocasa.com\/blog\/bank-of-canada-hikes-rate-to-1-5-in-july-announcement\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bank of Canada Hikes Rate to 1.5% in July Announcement<\/a> by Penelope Graham | zoocasa<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Growing trade volatility and tariff threats weren\u2019t enough to sway the Bank of Canada from its upward swing : the central bank, which sets the cost of borrowing for all &hellip; [<a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2018\/07\/bank-of-canada-hikes-rate-to-1-5-in-july-announcement\/\">read more<\/a>]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9773","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-mortgage"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bank of Canada Hikes Rate to 1.5% in July Announcement &#8226; Rory C Real Estate | Oakwyn Realty<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2018\/07\/bank-of-canada-hikes-rate-to-1-5-in-july-announcement\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Bank of Canada Hikes Rate to 1.5% in July Announcement &#8226; 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