{"id":9850,"date":"2018-07-18T10:10:54","date_gmt":"2018-07-18T17:10:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/?p=9850"},"modified":"2018-07-17T10:50:47","modified_gmt":"2018-07-17T17:50:47","slug":"new-mortgage-rules-taxes-havent-stopped-canadian-house-prices-from-returning-to-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2018\/07\/new-mortgage-rules-taxes-havent-stopped-canadian-house-prices-from-returning-to-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"New Mortgage Rules &#038; Taxes Haven&#8217;t Stopped Canadian House Prices from Returning to Growth"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">All the new headwinds facing Canada&#8217;s homebuyers \u2014 from tough new mortgage &#8220;stress tests&#8221; and foreign buyers&#8217; taxes to rising interest rates \u2014 haven&#8217;t stopped house prices from returning to growth.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The latest edition of the Teranet\/National Bank house price index shows home prices have recovered from a slump that began in the middle of last year, and are now 2.9% higher than they were a year ago.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ten of the 11 cities measured by the index showed a rise in prices in June, with Winnipeg prices dropping 1% during the month.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/?attachment_id=9851\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-9851\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-9851\" src=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/index-H2-288x202.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"565\" height=\"396\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/index-H2-288x202.jpg 288w, https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/index-H2.jpg 630w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 565px) 100vw, 565px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Does this mean that the Canadian home resale market is about to enter into a new frenzy? No,&#8221; National Bank economist Marc Pinsonneault wrote in a report accompanying the index Thursday.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#8220;June&#8217;s rise in the index, impressive at first sight, was in fact weak for this time of the year.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">According to an analysis from Capital Economics, if seasonal differences were removed from the numbers, this would be the third-smallest June price hike in the past 14 years.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">And not all markets have recovered entirely. The price index for Toronto shows prices there are still 2.8% lower than a year ago, while in nearby Hamilton, prices are down 0.4% on the year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Vancouver, on the other hand, pulled up the national numbers with a 13.3% spike in its house price index over the past year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#8220;However, the market has taken a sharp turn for the worse in Vancouver,&#8221; Capital Economics&#8217; senior Canada economist, Stephen Brown, wrote in a client note.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#8220;Despite edging up in June, the sales-to-new listings ratio is close to its weakest in 5 years and suggests that house price inflation will plummet towards zero over the second half of 2018.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Pinsonneault noted that there is a large disparity in price growth in different types of housing. Condo prices in Toronto are up 7.8% in a year, despite the overall price decline in that market. In Vancouver, condos are up 16.3%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Unlike the average sales prices reported by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), the Teranet\/National Bank house price index tracks repeat sales of homes over time, creating an &#8220;apples-to-apples&#8221; comparison of house prices.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">CREA&#8217;s numbers for June pegged the average house price in Canada at $496,000, down 6.4% in a year. But that decline was largely due to fewer high-end homes selling, which dragged down the average price.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">CREA&#8217;s own apples-to-apples index of house prices suggested that comparable prices are up 1% in the past year.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.huffingtonpost.ca\/2018\/07\/12\/house-prices-canada-teranet_a_23480605\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Canadian House Prices Have Recovered the Losses from the Slump<\/a> by Daniel Tencer | Huffington Post<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>All the new headwinds facing Canada&#8217;s homebuyers \u2014 from tough new mortgage &#8220;stress tests&#8221; and foreign buyers&#8217; taxes to rising interest rates \u2014 haven&#8217;t stopped house prices from returning to &hellip; [<a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2018\/07\/new-mortgage-rules-taxes-havent-stopped-canadian-house-prices-from-returning-to-growth\/\">read more<\/a>]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9850","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-updates"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>New Mortgage Rules &amp; 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