{"id":9922,"date":"2018-08-02T08:08:02","date_gmt":"2018-08-02T15:08:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/?p=9922"},"modified":"2018-07-31T12:43:54","modified_gmt":"2018-07-31T19:43:54","slug":"canadas-national-housing-agency-thinks-canadian-real-estate-is-overvalued","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2018\/08\/canadas-national-housing-agency-thinks-canadian-real-estate-is-overvalued\/","title":{"rendered":"Canada\u2019s National Housing Agency Thinks Canadian Real Estate Is Overvalued"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Canadian real estate markets are cooling everywhere west of Ottawa. That had little impact on the latest report from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). The Government backed agency believes the national real estate market is highly vulnerable. They did note improvements in the largest markets, but it\u2019s going to be a while before they\u2019re fixed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>The Who, Said What?<\/strong><br \/>\nThe CMHC is the government owned agency that does housing research. They also oversee government guaranteed mortgage liquidity, so they do their homework. You know how your real estate agent says \u201ca home is worth whatever someone is willing to pay?\u201d Well, they disagree.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The CMHC looks for fundamental factors, and compares prices against the local context. Interest rates, wages, and price acceleration are in. Factors like your cousin Mikey thinks a lot of foreigners are buying \u201call of the land\u201d are not. They then publish a terror alert color graded warning system for real estate. Here\u2019s what they had to say about the country\u2019s largest markets.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Toronto Real Estate<\/strong><br \/>\nThe agency noted cooling price growth, but still think Toronto is highly vulnerable. Slowing price growth \u201cneeds to persist\u201d longer, to discount overheating and price acceleration. The agency still assigned it an overvalued rating, relative to market fundamentals. We know, your agent told you that Toronto was recovered and sales were going to boom in the fall. Back to school home shopping or something? They have doubts about wages and population density booming by then. Such Debby Downers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Vancouver Real Estate<\/strong><br \/>\nCanada\u2019s most expensive market is seeing price growth slow, but it\u2019s still \u201chighly vulnerable.\u201d Analysts observed price growth slowing over the past couple of quarters. They even observed prices turning negative in a few regions, and rising inventory. Despite that, they still believe the market is moderately overheated and highly overvalued. Remember, sales are slowing but Van still had the biggest price increase in the country.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Montreal Real Estate<\/strong><br \/>\nCanada\u2019s most overhyped market is surprisingly boring. Analysts noted the sales to new listings is approaching a threshold, but hasn\u2019t passed. When and if it does pass that mark, it may become problematic. Until then, it\u2019s just a normal real estate market doing normal things.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>CMHC Canadian Real Estate Market Summary<\/strong><br \/>\nComparisons between the April 2018 and July 2018 reports, for Canada\u2019s 15 largest markets.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/?attachment_id=9923\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-9923\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-9923\" src=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/RE-Overvalued-288x263.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"548\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/RE-Overvalued-288x263.png 288w, https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/RE-Overvalued.png 726w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nSource : CMHC. Better Dwelling.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The CMHC said Canadian real estate is showing a high degree of vulnerability. On a regional level, Chief Economist Bob Dugan said he\u2019s \u201cseeing a fair amount of differences.\u201d BC and Ontario markets are highly vulnerable. Meanwhile, Atlantic markets are just humming along.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/betterdwelling.com\/canadas-national-housing-agency-thinks-canadian-real-estate-is-overvalued\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Canada\u2019s National Housing Agency Thinks Canadian Real Estate Is Overvalued<\/a> by Better Dwelling<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Canadian real estate markets are cooling everywhere west of Ottawa. That had little impact on the latest report from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). The Government backed agency &hellip; [<a href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2018\/08\/canadas-national-housing-agency-thinks-canadian-real-estate-is-overvalued\/\">read more<\/a>]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9922","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-updates"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Canada\u2019s National Housing Agency Thinks Canadian Real Estate Is Overvalued &#8226; Rory C Real Estate | Oakwyn Realty<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.roryc.ca\/blog\/2018\/08\/canadas-national-housing-agency-thinks-canadian-real-estate-is-overvalued\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Canada\u2019s National Housing Agency Thinks Canadian Real Estate Is Overvalued &#8226; Rory C Real Estate | Oakwyn Realty\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Canadian real estate markets are cooling everywhere west of Ottawa. 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