“We started to see more home buyer confidence in the summer and this trend continues today,” said Ashley Smith, REBGV president. “It’ll be important to watch home listing levels over the next few months to see if supply can stay in line with home buyer demand.”

Listings are a key indicator of housing market health, especially when compared with sales figures. As demand for homes is increasing, listings are on the decline in Metro Vancouver, with 10,770 homes available as of the end of November, an annual and monthly decrease of about 12%. This is due to both increased absorption and a reduction of the number of homes newly listed for sale in November, which was down 26.7% from October and 13.7% compared with November 2018.

Rising sales and reduced listings are pushing the sales-to-active-listings ratio back up into overall seller’s market territory. For all home types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for November is 23.2%, which is only considered a seller’s market if it remains above 20% for a sustained period. With the ratio only back into the 20%-plus range over the past two months, Metro Vancouver remains officially a balanced market. But broken down property type, the ratio is 17.2% for detached homes (a balanced market, having been a buyer’s market), 24.9% for townhomes, and 29.3% for apartments (now firmly a seller’s market).

Price trends are lagging sales activity, but seem to have halted their decline over the past few months. The composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $993,700, which is 4.6% decrease from November 2018, but an increase over both September and October of this year.

Sales and prices by property type

There were 825 detached home sales in Metro Vancouver in November, which is a leap of just shy of 60% compared with the same month last year.

The price of a typical detached home across the region is now $1,415,400, which is a 5.8% decrease from November 2018, but a 0.3% uptick compared with October 2019.

The detached market varies widely between different areas of the REBGV jurisdiction however, with Squamish and Whistler both seeing year-over-year increases in the price of a detached home, up 3.6% and 4.5% respectively.

Sales of attached home such as townhouses and duplexes across the Metro region also rose 59.9% year over year, to 451 transactions in November.

The benchmark price of an attached home as of the end of the month stood at $772,800. This is a 4.4 per cent decline from November 2018, but a 0.2 per cent increase over October 2019.

As with detached homes, Squamish and Whistler were the two MLS areas to see annual jumps in the price of attached units, while Ladner and Tsawwassen continued to post the biggest year-over-year price declines.

Some 1,222 Metro Vancouver condos exchanged hands in November 2019, a 50.9% increase over November 2018.

The benchmark price of an apartment property is now pegged $651,500, which is 3.8% lower than in November 2018, and a 0.2% decline compared with October 2019.

Proving themselves the hottest real estate markets, Squamish and Whistler made it a hat-trick by also posting the biggest annual price jumps in the condo sector. Coquitlam was the only other area to see a year-over-year condo price increase, albeit of only 0.2 per cent.

Fraser Valley sees ‘unseasonably high demand’

A similar combination of rising buyer activity and falling home inventory in November is shoring up Fraser Valley’s real estate market, and even leading to multiple-offer situations, according to the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVREB) in its December 3 report.

FVREB reported 1,405 sales of all property types (both residential and commercial) on its Multiple Listing Service in November, a 36.7% increase compared with the 1,028 sales in November 2018.

Darin Germyn, FVREB president, said, “Some listings are seeing a lot of activity depending on location and property type. Realtors are reporting more showings, higher traffic at open houses and even some multiple-offer situations, which is atypical for the time of year.

“For our region, a balanced market is when 12% to 20% of active inventory is selling. In November, 33% of our supply of townhomes sold, as did 29 per cent of Fraser Valley condos; indicating that the supply of attached properties isn’t keeping up with demand.”

Benchmark home prices in the Valley also lagged the upward trend seen in sales, but like Metro Vancouver, their decline may have stalled. All three home types were cited as seeing November benchmark prices virtually flat with the previous month.

At $952,200, the benchmark price for a single-family detached home in the Fraser Valley remained unchanged compared with October 2019 and decreased 2.5% compared to November 2018.

The benchmark price for a townhome in the Fraser Valley was $514,700, a slip of 0.3% compared to October 2019 and 3.4% lower than November 2018.

A typical condo in the Valley region was pegged at $404,500 in November, a drop of 0.1% compared to October 2019 and a year-over-year decline of 4.3%.

Home prices vary widely in different areas throughout the region. To get a good idea of home prices in a specific Metro Vancouver location and by property type, check out the full REBGV stats package. For Fraser Valley prices by area and property type, see the full FVREB stats package.

November Home Sales Soar 55.3% in Metro Vancouver, Prices Rebound by Joannah Connolly | Glacier Media Real Estate | Business in Vancouver